Guide to Sic Bo – Using Probability to Determine the Correct Bet

Sic Bo is quite a simple game, at heart. You place some bets and roll three dice. The concept may be simple, but the betting is not. There are ways to improve your odds and increase your chances of winning decent levels of cash without too much risk.

In this article, I’m going to focus primarily on how to use probability to make the best, most lucrative bets without too much risk. We’ll look at a table depicting every type of bet applicable, as well as the stats for each of them.

Take a look at this table and read on as I explain how to use it:

Understanding the Table

As you can see the table has five sections:

  • Bet
  • Odds
  • Probability
  • Payout
  • House Edge

Each of these five points has an effect on the value of that bet. For example, a bet with high odds has increased value. However, if the same bet also has a low probability, the value goes down again.

The trouble with this table is determining the exact value of each bet. Once you can do that, you’ll know which bets to make and which ones to avoid. Let’s take a look at a couple of the less obvious sections:

Probability to Payout

The probability and payout of each bet are strongly related to one another. Generally speaking the higher the payout, the lower the probability. For example, the lowest payout falls under the small/big bet. Your reward is a 1:1 ratio, meaning that by winning, you’ll double your earnings. The probability is 48.6%. You can take this and determine that your chance of making money from this are slightly below 50/50, in this case 48.6/51.4.

On the opposite end of the spectrum, you have the triple bet. This one has a payout of 180:1. That means if you win, you get 181 times your initial bet. Sounds awesome, right? The problem is the probability is 0.46%. That means you will win an average of 1 in every 220 bets. Using this knowledge, if you bet the same amount 220 times, you would earn back only 181 portions.

Now, you could get lucky with the triple bet and earn the 181 portions before you bet 220 times. Unfortunately, it is just as likely that you’ll lose more than 220 times before earning your 181 portions back. This leads me into the real treasure of the table above:

Utilize House Edge

House edge is the last column, but the most useful column as well. You can use the house edge to immediately determine which bet is worth more than another. You see, the higher the house edge is, the more likely it is that the house will earn money from your bets. The less likely the house will earn from your bets means there’s a better chance for you to earn money too.

Using this method, we can determine that a combination bet (when you choose two numbers from 1-6 that you expect to turn up on two of the three dice) is the most profitable bet to make. Your odds of winning and the payout are high enough that you only have to win once every five games, which happens to be more likely than all other bets.

Other bets are almost as likely which you could try out as well. The choice is yours! Head over to to find out!


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